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Oil extends gains as Opec+ sticks with production plan

Oil prices extended their gains on Friday after the 23-producer Opec+ alliance stuck with its output plan and ratified a small increase for the month of June as concerns over weak demand in China and the Russia-Ukraine conflict continue to weigh on the market.


Brent, the global benchmark for two thirds of the world's oil, was 0.55 per cent higher at $111.5 per barrel at 10.26am UAE time on Friday. West Texas Intermediate, the gauge that tracks US crude, was also trading 0.53 per cent higher at $108.8 a barrel.


Opec+ agreed on Thursday to stick to its output plan and add 432,000 barrels per day of crude to the market in June, even as oil prices rise after the EU announced a phased strategy to ban oil imports from Russia by the end of this year.


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"Production policy from the group of exporters is essentially on auto-pilot because members don’t want to risk overwhelming oil markets with supply even as there are material supply risks around Russia’s oil output," said Edward Bell, senior director of market economics at Emirates NBD.

Even with additional barrels of oil coming to the market "the odds are that Opec+ will fail to hit that level as some members run up against production capacity constraints: market surveys show the Opec members of the alliance added just 10k bpd in April compared with a target level of 274k bpd", Mr Bell said.


Oil prices are up more than 60 per cent from the same period last year, caused by the Russia-Ukraine conflict as well as a faster-than-expected economic recovery and also years of underinvestment in the energy industry after prices collapsed in 2014, which restricted the output capacity of some producers.


The Opec+ alliance worked to bring back 5.8 million bpd in an effort to restore supply that was greatly reduced after the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020. The alliance achieved a historic reduction of 9.7 million bpd between May 2020 and July of last year.


The Russia-Ukraine crisis that erupted at the end of February has softened the global economic recovery and pandemic-related curbs in China are derailing the economic momentum of the world’s biggest oil importer, which makes it more challenging for Opec+ as it assesses market dynamics and decides future oil production levels.


Read More : https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/energy/2022/05/06/oil-extends-gains-as-opec-sticks-with-production-plan/

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